Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
(Adobe EPUB eBook, Kindle Book, OverDrive Read)
Description
Wall Street Journal bestseller!
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?
Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.
By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?
Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.
By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Formats
Adobe EPUB eBook
Works on all eReaders (except Kindles), desktop computers and mobile devices with reading apps installed.
Kindle Book
Works on Kindles and devices with a Kindle app installed.
OverDrive Read
Need Help?
If you are having problem transferring a title to your device, please fill out this support form or visit the library so we can help you to use our eBooks and eAudio Books.
If you are having problem transferring a title to your device, please fill out this support form or visit the library so we can help you to use our eBooks and eAudio Books.
More Copies In LINK+
Loading LINK+ Copies...
More Details
Format:
Adobe EPUB eBook, Kindle Book, OverDrive Read
Street Date:
02/06/2018
Language:
English
ISBN:
9780735216365
ASIN:
B074DG9LQF
Reviews from GoodReads
Loading GoodReads Reviews.
Citations
APA Citation (style guide)
Annie Duke. (2018). Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. Penguin Publishing Group.
Chicago / Turabian - Author Date Citation (style guide)Annie Duke. 2018. Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. Penguin Publishing Group.
Chicago / Turabian - Humanities Citation (style guide)Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. Penguin Publishing Group, 2018.
MLA Citation (style guide)Annie Duke. Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. Penguin Publishing Group, 2018.
Note! Citation formats are based on standards as of July 2022. Citations contain only title, author, edition, publisher, and year published. Citations should be used as a guideline and should be double checked for accuracy.
Copy Details
Library | Owned | Available |
---|---|---|
Shared Digital Collection | 2 | 0 |
There are 5 holds on this title.
Staff View
Grouped Work ID:
4245f6ff-15f1-357d-5741-f679bc2b72cb
Needs Update?:
No
Date Added:
May 30, 2019 17:02:13
Date Updated:
Dec 08, 2020 17:40:37
Last Metadata Check:
Apr 14, 2024 12:54:07
Last Metadata Change:
Nov 20, 2023 17:29:07
Last Availability Check:
Apr 14, 2024 12:54:10
Last Availability Change:
Apr 12, 2024 22:41:00
Last Grouped Work Modification Time:
Apr 19, 2024 08:47:50
OverDrive Product Record
- images
- cover:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-100/1523-1/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img100.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- thumbnail:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-200/1523-1/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img200.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover150Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-150/1523-1/865/8BD/29/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img150.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover300Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-400/1523-1/865/8BD/29/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img400.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover:
- formats
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780735216365
- name: Adobe EPUB eBook
- id: ebook-epub-adobe
- identifiers:
- identifiers:
- type: ASIN
- value: B074DG9LQF
- name: Kindle Book
- id: ebook-kindle
- identifiers:
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780735216365
- name: OverDrive Read
- id: ebook-overdrive
- identifiers:
- mediaType
- eBook
- primaryCreator
- role: Author
- name: Annie Duke
- title
- Thinking in Bets
- dateAdded
- 2019-05-30T18:43:00-04:00
- contentDetails
- href: https://link.overdrive.com/?websiteID=141&titleID=3375751
- type: text/html
- account:
- name: Sacramento Public Library (CA)
- id: 1151
- sortTitle
- Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You Dont Have All the Facts
- crossRefId
- 3375751
- subtitle
- Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
- id
- 8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd
- starRating
- 4.1
OverDrive MetaData
- isPublicDomain
- False
- formats
- fileName: ThinkinginBets_9780735216365_3375751
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 1167271
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780735216365
- rights:
- type: Copying
- value: 0
- type: Printing
- value: 0
- type: Lending
- value: 0
- type: ReadAloud
- value: 0
- type: ExpirationRights
- value: 0
- name: Adobe EPUB eBook
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-epub-adobe
- onSaleDate: 2/6/2018
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- fileName: ThinkinginBets_3375751
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 0
- identifiers:
- type: ASIN
- value: B074DG9LQF
- name: Kindle Book
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-kindle
- onSaleDate: 2/6/2018
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- fileName: ThinkinginBets_9780735216365_3375751
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 1191502
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780735216365
- name: OverDrive Read
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-overdrive
- onSaleDate: 2/6/2018
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- keywords
- value: statistics
- value: Cognitive Psychology
- value: risk management
- value: Business
- value: strategic thinking
- value: investing
- value: money
- value: Risk
- value: strategy
- value: Social Psychology
- value: Problem Solving
- value: philosophy
- value: decision making
- value: bet
- value: poker
- value: confidence
- value: Stock Market
- value: game theory
- value: forecasting
- value: Creativity
- value: math
- value: psychology
- value: management
- value: Finance
- value: logic
- value: Self Improvement
- value: self help books
- value: intuition
- value: Probability
- value: Leadership
- value: Economics
- value: forecast
- value: Business Strategy
- value: behavioral economics
- value: business books
- value: essentialism
- value: management books
- value: psychology books
- value: thinking fast
- value: annie duke
- value: poker gifts
- creators
- role: Author
- fileAs: Duke, Annie
- name: Annie Duke
- imprint
- Portfolio
- publishDate
- 2018-02-06T00:00:00-05:00
- isOwnedByCollections
- True
- title
- Thinking in Bets
- fullDescription
- Wall Street Journal bestseller!
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?
Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.
By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run. - popularity
- 2569
- links
- self:
- href: https://api.overdrive.com/v1/collections/v1L1BWwAAAA2I/products/8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd/metadata
- type: application/vnd.overdrive.api+json
- self:
- id
- 8658bd29-68fd-453b-b1ca-708886662dcd
- starRating
- 4.1
- images
- cover:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-100/1523-1/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img100.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- thumbnail:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-200/1523-1/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img200.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover150Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-150/1523-1/865/8BD/29/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img150.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover300Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-400/1523-1/865/8BD/29/{8658BD29-68FD-453B-B1CA-708886662DCD}Img400.jpg
- type: image/jpeg
- cover:
- isPublicPerformanceAllowed
- False
- languages
- code: en
- name: English
- subjects
- value: Business
- value: Psychology
- value: Nonfiction
- publishDateText
- 02/06/2018
- otherFormatIdentifiers
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780735216358
- mediaType
- eBook
- shortDescription
- Wall Street Journal bestseller!
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn... - sortTitle
- Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You Dont Have All the Facts
- crossRefId
- 3375751
- subtitle
- Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
- publisher
- Penguin Publishing Group
- bisacCodes
- code: BUS019000
- description: Business & Economics / Decision-Making & Problem Solving
- code: BUS063000
- description: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Strategic Planning
- code: PSY008000
- description: Psychology / Cognitive Psychology & Cognition